Power ratings, xG divergence, volatility rankings, and a goals simulator. Built on 758 MLS games. No fluff.
Dixon-Coles attack × defence composite. xG Div = goals scored minus xG per game. Vol = scoring volatility (std dev).
| # | Team | Attack | Defence | xG Div | Volatility | Power |
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Ranked by weighted xGF (60% home, 40% away). xG Div shows consistent over/under-performance vs expected goals.
| # | Team | xGF/game | Goals/game | xG Div | Home xGF | Away xGF |
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Ranked by weighted xGA (lower = better). Home and away defensive records shown separately.
| # | Team | xGA/game | GA/game | Home xGA | Away xGA | Def Rating |
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Full goal and expected goals breakdown. xA = expected assists (chance creation). Divergence = actual goals minus xG per game.
| # | Team | GF/g | GA/g | xGF/g | xGA/g | xGF Div | xGA Div |
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Teams ranked by average total corners per game (home + away split). High corner teams generate more set-piece action — useful for corners O/U markets.
| # | Team | Avg Corners | Home | Away | H-A Gap |
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Teams with high volatility have unpredictable scorelines — they win big and lose big. Low volatility teams are consistent. Relevant for over/under and BTTS markets.
| # | Team | Volatility | GF Std Dev | GA Std Dev | Avg GF | Avg GA |
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Combined attack and defence xG form over last 5 games. 🔥 = 3+ wins.
| # | Team | Form | Pts | xGF/g | xGA/g | Att F | Def F | Power F |
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Ranked by xGF over last 5 games.
| # | Team | Form | xGF/g | Goals/g | Pts |
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Ranked by xGA over last 5 games (lower = better).
| # | Team | Form | xGA/g | GA/g | Pts |
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Ranked by yellow cards per game. Multiplier vs league average 4.20 YC/game. Strictest referee averages 5.14 YC/game, most lenient 2.94 — a 2.2-card swing with no significant corner correlation (r=−0.29).
| # | Referee | YC/game | Multiplier | RC/game | Booking Pts | Apps | Quality |
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X-axis = attack rating (higher = more dangerous). Y-axis = defence rating (lower = harder to score against). Bubble size = overall power. Click a team to see deep dive.
Select a team for a full breakdown of their stats, form, home/away splits, and how they compare to the league average.
Select teams — model uses our xG ratings as defaults. Override with your own expected goals if you have a view. Poisson + Dixon-Coles calibrated on 758 MLS games.
Ranked by goals scored. xG Div = goals per 90 minus xG per 90 — positive means out-converting expected.
| # | Player | Club | Pos | Goals | G/90 | xG/90 | xG Div | Assists | Mins |
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Ranked by assists. xA/90 = expected assists per 90 — chance creation quality.
| # | Player | Club | Pos | Assists | A/90 | xA/90 | Goals | Mins |
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Composite: xG/90 (40%) + xA/90 (25%) + npxG/90 (20%) + A/90 (15%). xG Div shows over/under-performance vs model. Defence not included — attacking output only.
| # | Player | Club | Pos | Off Power | xG/90 | xA/90 | npxG/90 | xG Div |
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Goals O/U · Cards · BTTS · 1-up bets · 6-model ensemble · 27 referees tracked. Updated every matchday.
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